Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on May 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6c0bce775d0dd6cb16b6855b4595dca34a608a36ec23f4586cfad5ef38db751
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 42c | 1,011$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.98 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b3…f0bebacked No | 46c | 693.01$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.36 | 82 | 70.7%58 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 72c | 662$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.41 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 50c | 345.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.26 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 35c | 317.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Yes | 68c | 308.96$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked No | 56c | 273.51$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.06 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 30c | 263.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.05 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 51c | 233.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 208.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 35c | 205$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 54c | 201.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 57c | 190.37$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 43c | 178.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9e…4726backed Yes | 56c | 177.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 27c | 165.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 66c | 159.23$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 69c | 153$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 27c | 151.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0173…d05dbacked Yes | 68c | 144$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 29c | 135$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 40c | 134.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 118.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 60c | 111.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…b04abacked Yes | 57c | 102.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1bc5backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 40c | 99.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 33c | 98.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 24c | 82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 64c | 79.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 51c | 78.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 49c | 77.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 61c | 76.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…f816backed Yes | 39c | 66.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 20c | 65.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 62.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 32c | 60.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe925…7c4fbacked Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 28c | 53.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb2…ad6fbacked Yes | 35c | 52.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 163 | 24.5%40 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 73c | 51.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 57c | 43.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…dadbbacked No | 46c | 43.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 65c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a87…70aabacked No | 49c | 40.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…fc14backed No | 51c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 61c | 37.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 46c | 37.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…adcabacked No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 43c | 35.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 43c | 35.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 51c | 35.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 51c | 34.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…9144backed Yes | 50c | 33.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 48c | 32.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 61c | 31.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed Yes | 34c | 30.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 49c | 30.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 67c | 30.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 49c | 29.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…2f0fbacked Yes | 63c | 29.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 70c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 70c | 27.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 53c | 26.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 57c | 25.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a9…4182backed No | 55c | 25.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 42c | 24.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 65c | 23.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…3509backed Yes | 52c | 23.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdb…9059backed Yes | 61c | 22.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…cbc4backed No | 72c | 20.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 72c | 20.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…3a05backed No | 52c | 20.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…f3dbbacked Yes | 60c | 20.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…93c2backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 95.5%21 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 73cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47cf…5732backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 69c | 18.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…2155backed No | 58c | 17.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda8…7795backed No | 60c | 17.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0558…a8cdbacked No | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 118 | 67.8%80 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…18dbbacked No | 72c | 14.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…aa6cbacked No | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 77.3%92 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on May 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.