Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8a3c675a4e677a2617deff7f553700b169e980683f1f32909fb87103b11c86f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 1,626$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Yes | 75c | 562.59$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.65 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 76c | 526.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 31c | 322.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.74 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 322.27$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 33c | 300$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.05 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…bf93backed No | 27c | 290$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 225.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 14c | 185.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 24cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 38c | 158.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 10c | 156.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 107.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…127cbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +225.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…7627backed Yes | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 33c | 78.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Yes | 74c | 70.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 59c | 60.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 74c | 40.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 39c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 44c | 37.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 41c | 34.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No | 34c | 33.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Estoril Praia vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.