Movies · resolved market
Will The Studio win Best Producer of a TV Comedy Series at the 37th PGA Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7a9092467af104c73586bbdbbd10db4409148ff048783b840fe1911a2e5fda3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf977…aff0backed No | 9c | 772$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 6c | 661$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked No | 18c | 631$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 18c | 609$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 6c | 402.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 77c | 360.83$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…1690backed No | 9c | 317$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed No | 9c | 302$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed No | 9c | 179$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 30c | 149.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 133.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked Yes | 79c | 129$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 23c | 114$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 77c | 114$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 21c | 106$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 71c | 43.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…65ccbacked Yes | 80c | 15.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab6…e0cfbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The Studio win Best Producer of a TV Comedy Series at the 37th PGA Awards?this page
- Will The Bear win Best Producer of a TV Comedy Series at the 37th PGA Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.