South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-01-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb129e64b69f9bf2d878c4e0285f2e733b2292624afd6fe1a8fea608cff62e27e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 36c | 15,178$5,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397.3 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 29c | 10,025$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.43 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 5,880$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 3,621$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 53c | 2,500$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 30c | 2,457$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.09 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c73…7502backed Yes | 66c | 1,559$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 59c | 1,553$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.96 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,329$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 1,219$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.21 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 64c | 784$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.46 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 52c | 600$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.41 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 46c | 540.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.56 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 318.28$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.76 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 51c | 314.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed No | 70c | 290.27$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes | 65c | 210.61$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Yes | 70c | 174.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed No | 67c | 147.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 138.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 47c | 123$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 72c | 87.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 47c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked Yes | 75c | 64.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Yes | 49c | 57.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…0f5abacked No | 62c | 50.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 56c | 49.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 67c | 28.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…cd55backed No | 45c | 26.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No | 63c | 25.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Yes | 60c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…cc89backed Yes | 70c | 22.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 62c | 20.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 59c | 17.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-01-23?this page
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-01-23?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.