Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4f32a8f3627449cb606f841db0f805fd31afcad82b565f052d32cde0786ef7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 38c | 599.31$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.49 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 66c | 358$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.19 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 49c | 324.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.89 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 19c | 237.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a8…c5b9backed Yes | 42c | 233.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 45c | 219.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…3561backed Yes | 42c | 212.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 23c | 157.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 43c | 129.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 65c | 129.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 124.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 45c | 119.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 58c | 116.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 60c | 109.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 40c | 109.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 58c | 102.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 30c | 89.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 59c | 80.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f3…becfbacked Yes | 41c | 80.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 55c | 78.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 45c | 72.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed No | 55c | 72.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 18c | 69.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 40c | 61.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 57c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 59.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 40c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 53.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c000backed Yes | 39c | 51.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked No | 49c | 50.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…9f36backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d64…9190backed No | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 63c | 48.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 55c | 47.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 69c | 46.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 40c | 44.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8d…0511backed Yes | 46c | 43.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 58c | 41.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x896c…804bbacked Yes | 49c | 40.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 50c | 39.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked Yes | 47c | 39.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a5…132bbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 48c | 38.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed Yes | 49c | 37.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 252 | 61.9%156 W · 96 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 43c | 35.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 60c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 282 | 70.2%198 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…a4d5backed No | 50c | 31.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…6f5fbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80db…4a73backed Yes | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f90…b54abacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…33c6backed Yes | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 53c | 29.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…18a8backed No | 58c | 29.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 53c | 29.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7082…3a10backed Yes | 37c | 28.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…159ebacked Yes | 58c | 28.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 58c | 26.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7309…95bdbacked Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 51c | 24.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…5dc0backed Yes | 66c | 22.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 57c | 22.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…008abacked No | 58c | 21.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…43f1backed Yes | 51c | 21.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…7f8abacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…3a05backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 62c | 19.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 56c | 18.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 55c | 18.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 62c | 18.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.