Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2f5bc9c8ebf310ba162820fde11e61c912924d76f3a03868426a91f27304454
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 35c | 730.04$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.9 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 33c | 325.27$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.67 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…f00ebacked Yes | 36c | 294$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.91 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 44c | 258.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 67c | 248.26$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.22 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a8…c5b9backed Yes | 31c | 237.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.33 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 43c | 218.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 22c | 205.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 198.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.27 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…c853backed Yes | 66c | 186.83$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 78c | 170.86$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.71 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 78c | 161.24$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 22c | 158.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 34c | 155.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 69c | 154.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 30c | 143.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…3c46backed Yes | 30c | 140.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 64c | 137.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 48c | 124.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 65c | 121.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 68c | 113.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 50c | 106.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 36c | 99.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 71c | 97.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 71c | 97.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 68c | 96.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 77c | 91.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 25c | 88.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 71c | 84.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cb…4629backed Yes | 24c | 82.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 68c | 82.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 28c | 72.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 23c | 65.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 53c | 64.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 70c | 64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 36c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…2857backed Yes | 34c | 58.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 49c | 58.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 72c | 57.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 53.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6a…b380backed Yes | 46c | 53.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 32c | 53.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 34c | 49.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 33c | 49.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…dbfabacked No | 70c | 47.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 100 | 81%81 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 46.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 44c | 43.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 67c | 42.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…5dc0backed Yes | 36c | 35.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…93abbacked No | 70c | 35.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 67c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 64c | 33.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 67c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…4beabacked Yes | 47c | 28.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…e397backed No | 76c | 28.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 57c | 27.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 73c | 25.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 282 | 70.2%198 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…b22fbacked Yes | 63c | 22.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 68c | 22.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 67c | 21.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 70c | 20.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 68c | 19.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 60c | 18.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 77c | 18.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 65c | 18.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed Yes | 71c | 18.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked No | 69c | 17.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 76c | 13.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.