South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aac7e167deee8c06c8e32259817c5fdafef05df2509cecf8a9184c8de3dac85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 3,958$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 2,615$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.94 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 2,128$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.75 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 1,099$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.81 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 25c | 953.21$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.19 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 66c | 890.35$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.52 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 34c | 528.97$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.44 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 500.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 66c | 357.97$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 76c | 355.39$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 22c | 335.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 35c | 314.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 260.62$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…c167backed Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 31c | 190.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 176.8$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 79c | 174$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 20c | 162.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 17c | 157$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 140.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 22c | 130.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 26c | 115.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +93%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 26c | 114.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 54c | 108.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 33c | 102.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked Yes | 24c | 95.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 46c | 88.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 56c | 87.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed No | 78c | 82.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 78.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 23c | 75.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 73.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 19c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…ebb0backed Yes | 35c | 57.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 79c | 57.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 78c | 56.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 78c | 56.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 48c | 55.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 54.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 51.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…1499backed Yes | 31c | 51.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…a003backed Yes | 22c | 47.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 77c | 47.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 55c | 44.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed No | 79c | 38.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 63c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 79c | 36.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 33c | 31.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed No | 79c | 27.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…c7efbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…6b7cbacked No | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 22.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 78c | 22.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 63c | 21.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…9794backed No | 78c | 20.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 18.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 72c | 15.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked No | 78c | 14.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28?No won
- Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.