World Politics · resolved market
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdade564249db4b9daad8e06c21e06e2760c7c640b2be1c7016baa48bbfef83d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 16c | 17,127$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.55 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 8c | 10,559$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.69 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x543e…8884backed No | 13c | 8,473$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 6c | 2,751$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.94 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked No | 20c | 2,739$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 10c | 2,372$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.02 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…ded8backed No | 11c | 1,824$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked No | 28c | 1,658$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.52 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 1,407$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…12b6backed No | 4c | 1,270$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +125%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 1,073$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…201abacked No | 17c | 1,047$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 11c | 1,002$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…db7cbacked No | 22c | 1,002$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…a504backed No | 9c | 981$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +245.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 4c | 904.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 17c | 835.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.19 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…d223backed No | 11c | 749.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 10c | 720.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 8c | 712.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 12c | 608.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 14c | 580$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e5…7127backed No | 17c | 575.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 7c | 566.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 10c | 559.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 11c | 501.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 8c | 457.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed No | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 15c | 430$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 11c | 376.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 7c | 370$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 11c | 360.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…b8e4backed No | 15c | 307.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 80c | 306.44$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -8.2wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff8…973dbacked Yes | 67c | 302.21$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 12c | 300.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…c340backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 7c | 272.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…560ebacked No | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…de6ebacked No | 4c | 264.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 4c | 260$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 22c | 257.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 13c | 254.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 13c | 244$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 23c | 191.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42e…e152backed No | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +336.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…4ec9backed No | 11c | 167.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 19cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…58d2backed No | 11c | 164.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +207.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…b422backed No | 7c | 147$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +343.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 10c | 147$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 10c | 147$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 9c | 146.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 64c | 144.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 110 | 69.1%76 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514a…dad1backed No | 14c | 144.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…2b4bbacked No | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…4761backed No | 10c | 131.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc42…dcbabacked No | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +507.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 12c | 127.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 11c | 124.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 22c | 98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 86.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 22c | 82.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 15c | 80.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…e48ebacked No | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 17c | 68.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aeb…0583backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed No | 26c | 41.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 79c | 28.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 78c | 23.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Yes | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?this page
- Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?No won
- Will Kweon Seong-dong win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?No won
- Will Lee Chul-gyu win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?No won
- Will Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?No won
- Will Song Gi-heon win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.