Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. New Haven Chargers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0463cfbe83c08873f7af8ca906eaa3952a9fc3b0b69750f931d83a34bfa213d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flashof St. Francis (PA) Red Flash, New Haven Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,618 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35d2…6698backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 52c | 1,034$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked New Haven Chargers | 48c | 583$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked New Haven Chargers | 61c | 576.46$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.43 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…e25ebacked New Haven Chargers | 48c | 325$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 43c | 299$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.23 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 35c | 172$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.26 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 36c | 137.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…bd49backed New Haven Chargers | 48c | 126$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed New Haven Chargers | 12c | 116.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New Haven Chargers | 68c | 94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 34c | 68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 38c | 53.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked New Haven Chargers | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed New Haven Chargers | 65c | 42.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da5…8478backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed New Haven Chargers | 64c | 35.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked New Haven Chargers | 66c | 34.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed New Haven Chargers | 58c | 33.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked New Haven Chargers | 50c | 30.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed New Haven Chargers | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed New Haven Chargers | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.