Movies · resolved market
Will Sinners win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x828114c6a2858b049cfd1eb7b86aca09636eb2ce04d9d649fd2689aedd4c9222
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked Yes | 68c | 913$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.16 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked Yes | 28c | 905$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +123%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 41c | 528.5$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.19 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed No | 72c | 480$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 32c | 480$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 69c | 463$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked No | 31c | 456$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…d584backed No | 32c | 425$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…09debacked No | 72c | 425$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 56c | 320.23$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.03 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 44c | 294.47$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…00c6backed Yes | 62c | 162.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…7d2dbacked No | 40c | 161.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…bc7fbacked No | 40c | 161.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ca…8eb9backed No | 40c | 156.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…9394backed No | 40c | 156.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1795…9565backed No | 40c | 156.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 40c | 156.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…037fbacked No | 40c | 156.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428e…e05dbacked No | 40c | 155.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645f…e4bbbacked No | 40c | 153.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…17b7backed No | 40c | 153.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4826…83eabacked No | 40c | 150.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…6669backed No | 40c | 149.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6172…34a9backed No | 40c | 149.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3718…087abacked No | 40c | 147.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b93…76eabacked No | 40c | 146.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…f18bbacked No | 40c | 146.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…00fcbacked No | 40c | 145.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…a940backed No | 40c | 144.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ea59backed No | 40c | 138.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…7223backed No | 40c | 138.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 55c | 131.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…4b29backed Yes | 60c | 108.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…04bcbacked Yes | 60c | 108.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…a071backed Yes | 60c | 108$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…e18dbacked Yes | 60c | 107.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c2…7f10backed Yes | 60c | 106.71$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…4f40backed Yes | 60c | 105.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…ed41backed Yes | 60c | 105.17$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Yes | 72c | 104.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef0…7296backed Yes | 60c | 104.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…64febacked Yes | 60c | 103.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…bbdebacked Yes | 60c | 102.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…133dbacked Yes | 60c | 100.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce1…6a99backed Yes | 60c | 100.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf06…bb42backed Yes | 60c | 99.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ff…46b9backed Yes | 60c | 98.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…1d56backed Yes | 60c | 98.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…4b0dbacked Yes | 60c | 98.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0411…3cc4backed Yes | 60c | 98.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…ad1fbacked Yes | 60c | 98.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf078…943fbacked Yes | 60c | 97.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…820fbacked Yes | 60c | 96.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa361…55f5backed Yes | 60c | 96.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…6514backed Yes | 60c | 95.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…440cbacked Yes | 60c | 95.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa16…0b9bbacked Yes | 60c | 94.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcb…f740backed Yes | 60c | 94.32$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…b130backed Yes | 60c | 93.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fc…8fa2backed Yes | 60c | 93.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…1db6backed Yes | 60c | 93.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x342f…5b21backed Yes | 60c | 93.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f0dcbacked Yes | 60c | 92.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…6378backed No | 40c | 78.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5527…4e68backed No | 58c | 71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 36c | 60.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…f19dbacked Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 45c | 59.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 55c | 57.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 43c | 56.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…0275backed Yes | 73c | 55.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…a80abacked No | 40c | 43.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…b5a8backed No | 51c | 39.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…b6f1backed Yes | 65c | 38.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6216backed No | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked No | 65c | 27.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 58c | 26.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 47c | 25.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 59c | 21.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Yes | 56c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…c6e7backed Yes | 57c | 21.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sinners win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?this page
- Will Hamnet win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?No won
- Will Marty Supreme win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?No won
- Will Nouvelle Vague win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?No won
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?No won
- Will Song Sung Blue win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.