Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. South Dakota Coyotes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e4fdafc09127ead9de1af4fb1226f7c207b1bbddc7b9d37630f4f2ab85da2ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Dakota Coyotesof South Carolina State Bulldogs, South Dakota Coyotes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,993 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17be…7a33backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 25c | 2,089$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f183backed South Dakota Coyotes | 75c | 1,975$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed South Dakota Coyotes | 75c | 1,522$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +218.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed South Dakota Coyotes | 74c | 1,294$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 26c | 1,189$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…9669backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 27c | 1,114$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…0d52backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 26c | 1,107$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed South Dakota Coyotes | 75c | 812$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 25c | 812$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 25c | 691$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 25c | 672$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked South Dakota Coyotes | 74c | 660$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 25c | 612$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 29c | 470$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 74c | 457$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…e61bbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 74c | 391$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…f02dbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 29c | 381$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…1b7abacked South Dakota Coyotes | 71c | 356$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 71c | 319$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +215.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…911fbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 71c | 296$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…5f6abacked South Dakota Coyotes | 75c | 267$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed South Dakota Coyotes | 71c | 216$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…109cbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 74c | 202$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed South Dakota Coyotes | 56c | 118.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…99f7backed South Dakota Coyotes | 71c | 118$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…7dadbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 26c | 79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 29c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1590…000dbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 49c | 45.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed South Dakota Coyotes | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…6447backed South Dakota Coyotes | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.