Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd68aa221b02a70b01d301ae1c19d0888179a1fd52d70cbc177341796a80dc397
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boise State Broncosof Boise State Broncos, New Mexico Lobos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boise State Broncos | 64c | 2,804$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New Mexico Lobos | 51c | 2,737$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.45 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New Mexico Lobos | 68c | 2,200$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 27c | 1,465$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.36 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Boise State Broncos | 74c | 1,322$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.69 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Boise State Broncos | 25c | 1,249$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.95 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked New Mexico Lobos | 43c | 1,081$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.98 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Boise State Broncos | 33c | 1,074$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.2 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked New Mexico Lobos | 2c | 999.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Boise State Broncos | 53c | 945$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.61 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Boise State Broncos | 32c | 785$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.5 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico Lobos | 67c | 773.7$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked New Mexico Lobos | 61c | 706.3$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.61 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Boise State Broncos | 33c | 681.82$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.82 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico Lobos | 58c | 581.6$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.57 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New Mexico Lobos | 26c | 563.63$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked New Mexico Lobos | 32c | 458.38$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed New Mexico Lobos | 33c | 441.83$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico Lobos | 42c | 433.36$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.18 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boise State Broncos | 49c | 393.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed New Mexico Lobos | 24c | 353.39$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed New Mexico Lobos | 12c | 320$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Boise State Broncos | 72c | 316.2$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Boise State Broncos | 33c | 303$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed New Mexico Lobos | 68c | 293.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Boise State Broncos | 51c | 277$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed New Mexico Lobos | 7c | 268.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Boise State Broncos | 34c | 249$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.34 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Boise State Broncos | 48c | 219.49$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked New Mexico Lobos | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Boise State Broncos | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 54c | 179.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Boise State Broncos | 40c | 167.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed New Mexico Lobos | 66c | 162.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed New Mexico Lobos | 54c | 157.52$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked Boise State Broncos | 59c | 153.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed New Mexico Lobos | 33c | 148.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New Mexico Lobos | 46c | 146.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Boise State Broncos | 32c | 112$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed New Mexico Lobos | 41c | 109.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe570…e821backed Boise State Broncos | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…59fcbacked New Mexico Lobos | 26c | 92.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked New Mexico Lobos | 67c | 89.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Boise State Broncos | 33c | 84.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed New Mexico Lobos | 65c | 84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boise State Broncos | 36c | 76.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked New Mexico Lobos | 68c | 73.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked New Mexico Lobos | 41c | 65.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Boise State Broncos | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Boise State Broncos | 35c | 57.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…93aebacked New Mexico Lobos | 63c | 56.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Boise State Broncos | 55c | 47.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e05…ae77backed New Mexico Lobos | 40c | 42.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…7b98backed Boise State Broncos | 58c | 42.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed New Mexico Lobos | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Boise State Broncos | 34c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Boise State Broncos | 54c | 37.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boise State Broncos | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed New Mexico Lobos | 58c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked New Mexico Lobos | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed New Mexico Lobos | 50c | 25.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed New Mexico Lobos | 48c | 24.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed New Mexico Lobos | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked Boise State Broncos | 69c | 18.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed New Mexico Lobos | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed New Mexico Lobos | 70c | 15.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…5486backed New Mexico Lobos | 67c | 15.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Boise State Broncos | 71c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobosthis page
- Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-5.5)Boise State Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.