TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Maryland Terrapins vs. Oregon Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maryland Terrapinsof Maryland Terrapins, Oregon Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,317 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae6f…8a1bbacked Oregon Ducks7c2,910$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Oregon Ducks2c1,647$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.224121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oregon Ducks41c1,406$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.964,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Oregon Ducks62c1,402$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.2139454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Maryland Terrapins38c1,200$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.9955532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Oregon Ducks22c1,057$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9625829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Maryland Terrapins57c902.52$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.085143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5422…76a4backed Maryland Terrapins57c869.67$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.96944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Oregon Ducks29c757.31$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.061,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4829…f201backed Oregon Ducks2c676.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.34119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick35cpaid-86.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa3d…f902backed Oregon Ducks3c606.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Oregon Ducks62c496.11$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.5919554.9%107 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Maryland Terrapins70c459.47$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2418954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab5…ff12backed Maryland Terrapins39c381.41$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.668130.9%25 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca9…d946backed Maryland Terrapins52c381.26$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1831250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Oregon Ducks23c364.22$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.783,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Maryland Terrapins64c362.34$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.442,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Oregon Ducks32c310.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.246630.3%20 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Maryland Terrapins38c298.75$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.741,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Oregon Ducks38c292.61$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.193,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Maryland Terrapins79c269.91$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6811136%40 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Maryland Terrapins38c257.93$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8329337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Oregon Ducks62c255.94$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.681,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Oregon Ducks12c249.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.491421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Maryland Terrapins60c247.9$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e05…ae77backed Maryland Terrapins56c212.37$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+57.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Maryland Terrapins38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1242,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Oregon Ducks62c193.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.932751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Oregon Ducks61c190.96$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4814151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Oregon Ducks40c164.75$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.231,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Oregon Ducks62c159.96$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1883350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Maryland Terrapins38c158.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4331448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Oregon Ducks62c157.53$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.161,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ec…70fcbacked Maryland Terrapins38c156.59$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.092657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Maryland Terrapins61c154.42$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2314027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9280…99b4backed Oregon Ducks14c148.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.144641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Oregon Ducks63c131.91$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1150745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Maryland Terrapins38c131.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3982846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Maryland Terrapins38c130.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.915945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fd…268dbacked Maryland Terrapins77c128.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Maryland Terrapins80c109.61$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1439742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Maryland Terrapins38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6249157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Oregon Ducks38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Oregon Ducks62c99.48$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.681,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Maryland Terrapins56c99.14$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6215240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Maryland Terrapins56c98.4$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8494036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Oregon Ducks30c96.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.044434.1%15 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda82…f9d5backed Oregon Ducks62c90.22$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.931735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Maryland Terrapins37c88.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5621549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Maryland Terrapins38c79.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6533445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0643…d46bbacked Oregon Ducks63c78.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.599348.4%45 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Maryland Terrapins64c76.3$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.475042%21 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed Oregon Ducks22c64.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.133033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43b0…7bcdbacked Maryland Terrapins38c62.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.744100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+97.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Maryland Terrapins79c61.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7761446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Oregon Ducks43c59.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4935338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Maryland Terrapins59c56.8$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4877142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Oregon Ducks34c55.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.997031.4%22 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Maryland Terrapins38c53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8632850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Maryland Terrapins38c52.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6648551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Maryland Terrapins66c52.23$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7464647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Oregon Ducks63c51.78$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6237947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf878…825fbacked Maryland Terrapins38c51.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Oregon Ducks35c50.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.321,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdd12…a7b8backed Maryland Terrapins38c49.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7418644.6%83 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Maryland Terrapins74c49.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Oregon Ducks36c48.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4830945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Maryland Terrapins37c48.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.422,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c6…737abacked Maryland Terrapins71c44.62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.724860.4%29 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Oregon Ducks33c36.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1366831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6232…85e5backed Maryland Terrapins79c33.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.875972.9%43 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d11…a8e1backed Oregon Ducks37c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4125…23a9backed Maryland Terrapins67c29.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.635470.4%38 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Maryland Terrapins74c26.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.983174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5954…e108backed Maryland Terrapins38c26.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.321136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc946…229cbacked Oregon Ducks63c24.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Maryland Terrapins59c24.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9729954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88ed…6ccabacked Oregon Ducks44c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.464443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Oregon Ducks62c23.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7620548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x035f…7879backed Oregon Ducks63c21.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x518e…da49backed Oregon Ducks63c20.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dde…b11abacked Oregon Ducks63c16.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6240%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Oregon Ducks62c16.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1730649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.