Tennis · resolved market
New Delhi: Alexandr Binda vs Denis Yevseyev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c7071e810d92d85e1d0fadc6a8e6c8611ca0844c59db813883df008fc5d0d39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bindaof Binda, Yevseyev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yevseyev | 31c | 1,208$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.9 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Binda | 19c | 1,026$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.32 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yevseyev | 53c | 598$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.01 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Binda | 19c | 595.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.64 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Binda | 25c | 539$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.28 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yevseyev | 48c | 522$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yevseyev | 56c | 448$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.69 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Binda | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Binda | 58c | 258.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.84 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yevseyev | 48c | 249.25$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.49 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Binda | 35c | 233.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.64 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Binda | 34c | 221.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Binda | 28c | 193.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.72 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yevseyev | 42c | 183.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Binda | 45c | 175.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yevseyev | 26c | 171.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Binda | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Binda | 33c | 151.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Binda | 40c | 151.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yevseyev | 8c | 149.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Binda | 38c | 105.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Binda | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Yevseyev | 69c | 98.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Yevseyev | 61c | 91.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked Binda | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yevseyev | 69c | 75.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Binda | 33c | 67.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yevseyev | 66c | 65.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Yevseyev | 80c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Yevseyev | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 76cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yevseyev | 68c | 59.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Binda | 38c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Yevseyev | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Yevseyev | 75c | 46.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Binda | 39c | 34.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…9551backed Binda | 59c | 34.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed Yevseyev | 70c | 27.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Yevseyev | 79c | 24.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yevseyev | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb874…c7aabacked Yevseyev | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Yevseyev | 70c | 19.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Yevseyev | 69c | 15.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903b…e84fbacked Yevseyev | 76c | 15.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yevseyev | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.