CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WHITEBIRD vs HAVU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d69125f8fbae6ca3dbb6d1ff6616974338b45f63b6f5400351ad11fc92168ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WHITEBIRDof WHITEBIRD, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0002…103ebacked HAVU | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HAVU | 19c | 818.15$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.66 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked WHITEBIRD | 56c | 571.4$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.46 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HAVU | 40c | 446.3$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked WHITEBIRD | 60c | 416.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.06 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed HAVU | 32c | 392.91$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked WHITEBIRD | 76c | 267.09$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed WHITEBIRD | 59c | 241.31$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed HAVU | 35c | 217.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed HAVU | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed HAVU | 41c | 200.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed HAVU | 37c | 195$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HAVU | 31c | 193.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…1ff8backed WHITEBIRD | 60c | 180.09$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed WHITEBIRD | 60c | 167.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed WHITEBIRD | 61c | 161.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked HAVU | 42c | 140.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked HAVU | 39c | 122.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed WHITEBIRD | 79c | 118.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…688abacked HAVU | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked HAVU | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked HAVU | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed HAVU | 41c | 87.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed HAVU | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed HAVU | 47c | 70.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HAVU | 41c | 64.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed HAVU | 41c | 63.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb067…c53fbacked WHITEBIRD | 57c | 57.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked WHITEBIRD | 75c | 57.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked WHITEBIRD | 50c | 55.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked WHITEBIRD | 77c | 55.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked WHITEBIRD | 59c | 54.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed WHITEBIRD | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked HAVU | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed WHITEBIRD | 68c | 41.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked HAVU | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb13…6c14backed HAVU | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HAVU | 35c | 38.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked WHITEBIRD | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072b…3431backed WHITEBIRD | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed WHITEBIRD | 67c | 32.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed WHITEBIRD | 74c | 31.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed HAVU | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked WHITEBIRD | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…34d6backed WHITEBIRD | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…1a6bbacked HAVU | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed WHITEBIRD | 57c | 22.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked WHITEBIRD | 72c | 14.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WHITEBIRD vs HAVU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: WHITEBIRD vs HAVU - Map 1 WinnerWHITEBIRD won
- Counter-Strike: WHITEBIRD vs HAVU - Map 2 WinnerHAVU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.