Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pacific Tigers vs. Santa Clara Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a569f1a0f745661b3487c6eeb609ee2be3e1206eee6e4930074c8dc64f6390e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santa Clara Broncosof Pacific Tigers, Santa Clara Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,229 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pacific Tigers | 3c | 6,834$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.07 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Pacific Tigers | 19c | 6,796$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.19 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Pacific Tigers | 5c | 4,027$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Pacific Tigers | 6c | 3,403$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.54 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…49bfbacked Pacific Tigers | 3c | 3,134$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pacific Tigers | 18c | 2,232$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.69 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…2cbbbacked Pacific Tigers | 18c | 2,180$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.35 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked Pacific Tigers | 19c | 2,132$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.87 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Pacific Tigers | 21c | 1,856$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.81 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Pacific Tigers | 9c | 1,626$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Pacific Tigers | 19c | 1,313$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.45 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Pacific Tigers | 7c | 1,310$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Pacific Tigers | 18c | 960.68$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.92 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pacific Tigers | 13c | 424.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Santa Clara Broncos | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…1428backed Pacific Tigers | 6c | 360.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Pacific Tigers | 16c | 359.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked Pacific Tigers | 17c | 298.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Pacific Tigers | 18c | 294.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Pacific Tigers | 10c | 280.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Pacific Tigers | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pacific Tigers | 20c | 198.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ff…c4ccbacked Pacific Tigers | 16c | 180.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…4c18backed Pacific Tigers | 14c | 142.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8b9ebacked Pacific Tigers | 16c | 133.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Pacific Tigers | 14c | 110.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Pacific Tigers | 16c | 108.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pacific Tigers | 17c | 106.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Pacific Tigers | 17c | 89.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Pacific Tigers | 17c | 74.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Santa Clara Broncos | 80c | 60.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Santa Clara Broncos | 78c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacific Tigers vs. Santa Clara Broncosthis page
- Pacific Tigers vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Santa Clara Broncos (-10.5)Pacific Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.