Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25da1bbf80a9971e3fa18b09ebc4155f76e5437822cae360aa8c6c1c17fcaccb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 14c | 5,839$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.95 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 5,090$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.22 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 2,145$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.75 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…3608backed Over | 59c | 1,850$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 55c | 890$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 806.14$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.13 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…acfabacked Over | 29c | 700$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Over | 44c | 674.58$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 71c | 651.59$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 31c | 609.68$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 13c | 577$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 58c | 514.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 57c | 352.59$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…aef2backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Over | 70c | 303.45$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 39c | 250.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.71 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccd…1eecbacked Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 70c | 193$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 45c | 190$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 56c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Under | 27c | 149.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 38c | 147.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 13c | 137.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 74c | 134.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 37c | 120$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 14c | 112.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…31e9backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 88.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Under | 69c | 82.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 14c | 82.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 14c | 81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 33c | 76.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…2866backed Over | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 46c | 44.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under | 45c | 44.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 34c | 42.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 55c | 33.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c9…c7e4backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Over | 58c | 27.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 56c | 18.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.