Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4ca93392c07f34688d86087e9c566c3cb176ce430c062f4255ffd02795f88cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 28c | 3,570$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 74c | 2,243$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.02 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 1,861$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.61 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 53c | 1,730$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 64c | 1,566$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.02 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 1,406$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.17 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 53c | 870.63$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.14 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 540.48$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.09 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 451.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 35c | 309.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.36 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Over | 38c | 228.54$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 68c | 221.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 64c | 209.13$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 67c | 167.06$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 66c | 151.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…5b73backed Under | 75c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 118.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 64c | 104$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 30c | 103.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 66c | 93.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 87.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Under | 60c | 83.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 56c | 74.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Over | 42c | 71.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…dd29backed Over | 39c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 61c | 69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 20c | 59.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 32c | 54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 57c | 49.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9400…b3cdbacked Over | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…8a7bbacked Over | 66c | 38.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 32c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 32c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 32c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 35c | 35.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Under | 76c | 35.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Under | 33c | 31.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Over | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Under | 65c | 27.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…4dfbbacked Under | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…7c0fbacked Under | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Over | 54c | 23.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Over | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.