Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f83d514cd737e17141c20343a539e119c7eca690a66ed29f475cc3d94624d6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 6,796$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.16 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 3,897$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.01 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Under | 33c | 2,913$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 72c | 2,797$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 76c | 2,220$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.21 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 72c | 804.67$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.67 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 71c | 707.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 70c | 604.06$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.06 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 66c | 468.62$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.33 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 61c | 388.52$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.52 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 42c | 185.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Under | 30c | 185.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 60c | 151.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 71c | 144.42$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 138.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Over | 69c | 115.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 22c | 88.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Over | 76c | 83.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 20c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 29c | 80.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 76c | 79.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 34c | 76.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 71c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…be36backed Under | 30c | 58.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 20c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 20c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 50.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Over | 59c | 45.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 69c | 26.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 68c | 25.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Over | 80c | 23.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.