Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb567bc0b72733bdd8462fec0381545f311f25293c2225a86cbb1b9215b1f63c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 1,677$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.23 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 1,215$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.65 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 32c | 550$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Over | 9c | 474.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 68c | 74.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 68c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 22c | 62.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.