Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84a519d5b365004123c68c0e522c2397fc71e0aab0d416589fd8832ead08f1c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 3,632$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.34 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 2,862$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.54 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 949.51$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.27 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…bca1backed Under | 50c | 764.17$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 49c | 404.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 45c | 328.08$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.63 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 255.23$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 43c | 250$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 80c | 216.33$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Under | 57c | 180.31$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 33c | 119.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 46c | 110.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 37c | 108.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…084dbacked Under | 60c | 101.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 21c | 93.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 280 | 40.4%113 W · 167 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 68c | 88.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 42c | 88.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 82.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 50.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 46c | 49.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Over | 52c | 44.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Over | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed Under | 58c | 40.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 53c | 36.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Over | 47c | 36.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 59c | 34.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Over | 44c | 32.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Under | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Over | 36c | 31.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…7c0fbacked Over | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Under | 79c | 19.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 62c | 17.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.