Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4dfb123f8c70d9c13e7706814fdfddb3b80c3dd82f868986c85c53856ebf823
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 79c | 27,115$21,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,694.93 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 24,831$5,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.41 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes | 12c | 2,390$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…50febacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,698$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.74 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,444$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.19 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 7c | 860.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 854.69$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.35 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 21c | 598.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 514.07$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 321.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Yes | 8c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 14c | 120.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…319bbacked Yes | 19c | 94.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 21c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 79c | 52.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked No | 80c | 44.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 78cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 77c | 23.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 80c | 16.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will SC Heerenveen vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.