Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Heerenveen vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4adeac2c86eb4159d3dd165493fabeefff3afb04338e99eaf439b610ded90965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 4,343$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.57 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 26c | 3,982$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.53 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 1,531$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.15 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.36 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 25c | 881.2$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.9 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 73c | 847$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.77 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 786.19$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.89 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked Yes | 26c | 678$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.72 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 600$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 539$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 209.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 55c | 179.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 159.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 32c | 132.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 38c | 127.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Yes | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 74c | 99.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 50c | 84.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed No | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 74c | 63.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 22c | 50.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 56c | 38.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa126…9e20backed Yes | 73c | 34.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 61c | 21.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Heerenveen vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-02-01?No won
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.