Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f3338a7d6f497b63e0b9db69136ec81636efd3eb844e45f4f30a7b33c873a45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 2,261$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.21 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 53c | 250$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…d4dcbacked Yes | 31c | 210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 141.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 97.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 45c | 54.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 48c | 52.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 47c | 48.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…807fbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)Toulouse FC won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.