Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe46072ec0fca75cf45bff2c69b7e5494e6b8aebd6930f55e4828dab638df28d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 49c | 123,820$60,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,674.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 62,574$32,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,057.37 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 51c | 27,338$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Under | 49c | 19,246$9,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,815.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 11,843$6,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,039.41 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 51c | 11,111$5,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,666.61 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 7,304$3,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,743.55 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 49c | 5,900$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.96 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Under | 49c | 4,898$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 4,816$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.99 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 3,958$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.2 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 51c | 3,400$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 1,327$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 1,200$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.89 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 505$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.6 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 47c | 380$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 71c | 346.77$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 53c | 300$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 51c | 244$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 53c | 224$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 50c | 182$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 51c | 158.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 51c | 156$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 53c | 135$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 38c | 131.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 52c | 121.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 53c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 51c | 115.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 51c | 115.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 45c | 108$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 52c | 77.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 71.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd346…4c48backed Over | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 31c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 49c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 49c | 57.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Under | 69c | 55.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 51c | 54.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…d47bbacked Over | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Over | 26c | 49.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cf…bf6abacked Over | 47c | 47.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a2…f3f9backed Under | 49c | 38.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…f1a5backed Over | 52c | 36.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc08f…2cb3backed Under | 49c | 35.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…a659backed Over | 52c | 35.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…44cdbacked Over | 52c | 34.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…2866backed Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dad…356bbacked Under | 49c | 33.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…1a65backed Over | 52c | 32.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 49c | 32.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeefc…49babacked Under | 49c | 31.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Under | 59c | 29.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 41c | 28.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab4…7b01backed Over | 52c | 24.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.