South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79137cdef76b0e55a0aa2e1eeb78a99568d72b631819edd44b0e2c0a7bd29d09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 15c | 1,663$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.57 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 835.84$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 822.15$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 14c | 754.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.18 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 754.64$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.68 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 32c | 564.22$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.55 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 31c | 553.02$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.84 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 21c | 523$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 27c | 431.95$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 40c | 412.5$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 67c | 338.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.03 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 15c | 337.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.25 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f0backed Yes | 70c | 212.36$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…973cbacked Yes | 20c | 159.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 25c | 145.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 69c | 144.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2b…ebd6backed Yes | 76c | 108.24$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 17c | 106.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 70c | 95.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 56c | 58.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc918…f848backed Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 24c | 53.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 40c | 50.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a5f1backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 28c | 44.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…2778backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 57c | 26.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Yes | 71c | 25.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…7b9cbacked Yes | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…cf90backed Yes | 80c | 18.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?No won
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.