TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,029 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c37,751$18,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,556.614,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over55c21,759$12,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,010.661,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.9912648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under46c7,448$3,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,021.923366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under47c7,164$3,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,796.722157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7002373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6207353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c2,353$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.121,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over54c1,599$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.482846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Over55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over5c839.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3515034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c684.79$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.422,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over55c615.61$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under45c606.9$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.813046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over55c507.93$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.3619344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb0ef…39b6backed Over59c505.05$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27512951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over54c481.48$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under45c451.46$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.314348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over54c450$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24327652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over54c450$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24331751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over54c450$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24321849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over56c428.19$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.935151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over54c428$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under50c411.38$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.691758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over54c360$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.414244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over54c350$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18917648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16219750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16214950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over54c266.1$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6935054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13529053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13543255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under45c227$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.853548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over54c224.33$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1453246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10829053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over7c182$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5837039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Over55c180.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.29649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.87951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.811952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.87045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.820250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.811346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over54c169.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.89945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8121051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.519951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under42c142.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8532145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over30c130$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.819352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.89247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.818853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.810351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.819053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c113.62$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.161,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under45c111.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.336237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under41c104.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.420949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558341%34 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5419153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaffc…fab4backed Over36c99.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.971216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc558…b8ffbacked Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over20c82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9301…3b67backed Under76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.22147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under44c75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4215250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.774126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.419152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.419553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.410247.1%48 W · 54 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.421151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.418852.7%99 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.418551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.410045%45 W · 55 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over53c57.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.458457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under47c57.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.455139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Over53c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.156847.1%32 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2719751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2712147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over58c41.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.619155%105 W · 86 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.69551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under50c37.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6327850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.885451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.