La Liga · resolved market

Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04ad75ba4d3458f54b9afb171884edc38c4a085117dfbc2385fb25fea2ec9742

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 31, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,694 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	68c	23,253$15,896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,357.57	4,740	47%2,230 W · 2,510 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over	32c	10,000$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	-9.0wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over	33c	3,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under	67c	3,000$2,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+4.9wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	32c	3,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	219	57.5%126 W · 93 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over	32c	3,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.99	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	68c	2,785$1,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.2	204	49.5%101 W · 103 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	66c	2,201$1,453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$748.35	1,018	53.1%541 W · 477 L	-24.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over	32c	1,500$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.99	387	29.5%114 W · 273 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	32c	800$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	225	52.4%118 W · 107 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over	32c	779.99$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.6	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	32c	708.76$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.8	532	46.1%245 W · 287 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	32c	699.87$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.96	110	37.3%41 W · 69 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over	7c	536$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.52	601	47.9%288 W · 313 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over	33c	500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	129	51.9%67 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	32c	450$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	317	51.1%162 W · 155 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over	32c	450$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	218	49.1%107 W · 111 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Under	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	32c	400$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	181	52.5%95 W · 86 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over	32c	360$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.2	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	-12.6wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over	32c	350$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	176	48.3%85 W · 91 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over	32c	320.45$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.54	276	52.5%145 W · 131 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	32c	300$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over	32c	300$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	350	54%189 W · 161 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over	32c	299.99$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	149	50.3%75 W · 74 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over	32c	280$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.6	161	51.6%83 W · 78 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	32c	250$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	432	55.6%240 W · 192 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over	32c	249.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	290	53.4%155 W · 135 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under	68c	206.06$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	424	58%246 W · 178 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over	32c	200$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	290	53.4%155 W · 135 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over	32c	180$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	96	49%47 W · 49 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over	32c	170$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.4	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over	32c	170$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.4	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over	32c	170$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.4	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over	32c	170$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.4	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over	32c	170$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.4	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-7.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over	32c	170$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.4	202	50.5%102 W · 100 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over	32c	170$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.4	113	46.9%53 W · 60 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over	32c	170$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.4	209	49.8%104 W · 105 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over	32c	160$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	196	52%102 W · 94 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over	32c	150$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	210	51.9%109 W · 101 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over	32c	150$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	73c	147.65$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.16	1,655	43.8%725 W · 930 L	-22.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over	33c	140.36$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.32	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over	32c	120$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	193	52.3%101 W · 92 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over	32c	120$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over	32c	120$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	188	53.2%100 W · 88 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over	32c	120$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	103	51.5%53 W · 50 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0406…c5b3backed Under	68c	120$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over	32c	120$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	190	53.7%102 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over	32c	120$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	93	43%40 W · 53 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over	32c	120$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	191	53.4%102 W · 89 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b5f…5e78backed Over	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Over	34c	92.56$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.47	93	54.8%51 W · 42 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over	32c	80$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	195	53.3%104 W · 91 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over	32c	80$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over	15c	77.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1783…7180backed Over	33c	76.24$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.86	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under	67c	75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.75	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	64c	74.44$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.8	321	45.8%147 W · 174 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over	32c	70$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	121	47.9%58 W · 63 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	36c	69.44$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	492	28.9%142 W · 350 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over	32c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	191	52.4%100 W · 91 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over	32c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over	32c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	102	47.1%48 W · 54 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over	32c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	191	55%105 W · 86 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over	32c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	211	51.7%109 W · 102 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over	32c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over	32c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	86	50%43 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over	32c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over	32c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	185	51.9%96 W · 89 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over	32c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-9.9wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over	32c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under	61c	52.46$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.46	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over	39c	52.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.46	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	66c	38.73$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.34	428	51.4%220 W · 208 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under	68c	26.47$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.47	307	49.2%151 W · 156 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under	69c	25.96$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.05	278	50%139 W · 139 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cad…9d15backed Under	69c	24.48$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.59	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under	68c	23.17$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.41	240	48.3%116 W · 124 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Under	66c	22.73$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.73	139	36%50 W · 89 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	68c	22$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.04	572	52.1%298 W · 274 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5this page
Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Under won
Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event