La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc73326c3ddbb3b07f59e91be4cd1e37938697b995297f9117ba106fe7369a13e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 11,042$5,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,077.48 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +91%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 871.86$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.77 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 456.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.84 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 38c | 430$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 80c | 341.27$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.02 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 47c | 313.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.47 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 303.56$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.44 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Over | 26c | 296.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 27c | 282.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 56c | 252.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Over | 26c | 249.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 21c | 240$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 209.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 78c | 199$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 27c | 182.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 20c | 135$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 59c | 118.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Over | 47c | 107.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Over | 60c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…9f6ebacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 63.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 24c | 62.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 44c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 52c | 57.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x554b…1ebdbacked Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…9900backed Over | 51c | 44.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 55c | 43.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over | 46c | 42.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 83.3%35 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Over | 79c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5this page
- Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.