Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddf770204001b7cce7b8804eabbf097461ac544c9d3fd5920c7af66c5d40e0dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 23c | 109$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Over | 21c | 103$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Over | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Over | 21c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Over | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Over | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Under | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Under | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Under | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Under | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Under | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Under | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Under | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Under | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Under | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Under | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Under | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Under | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Under | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Under | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Under | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Under | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.