NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fa8c339a57e596f2a6dbe6f5e3dbca4cb7dfe84c5c498737b018d9fd6024c7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Over | 50c | 4,980$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.55 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 52c | 2,268$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.14 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…19c6backed Under | 53c | 1,979$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.25 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,622$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 1,053$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.34 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Under | 51c | 820.59$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.09 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 382$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.64 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Under | 54c | 378.87$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.28 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 46c | 334.64$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.93 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 311$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.17 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 296.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 52c | 273.54$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 267.4$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 47c | 208.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 56c | 189$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 54c | 171$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 54c | 159$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 54c | 156$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 55c | 142$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 54c | 126$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 44c | 123.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 55c | 122$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 55c | 114$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…f476backed Under | 52c | 113$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 54c | 108$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 56c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Over | 49c | 99.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 55c | 92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 56c | 89.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 54c | 87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 55c | 87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 54c | 79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 55c | 76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 54c | 76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 55c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 53c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 55c | 67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 54c | 63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Over | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…5e4ebacked Over | 45c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a7…b732backed Over | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Over | 45c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Over | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Over | 45c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Over | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Over | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Over | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 48c | 38.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Over | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Over | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Over | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Over | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 31.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Over | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Magic vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.