Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Akron Zips (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8d569b2c1b3478939a021ee548999a31a1001014a5b68bd09f53ce167d263d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akron Zipsof Akron Zips, Eastern Michigan Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 53c | 457.49$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Akron Zips | 47c | 362.26$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Akron Zips | 46c | 300$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 52c | 162$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 54c | 143$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Akron Zips | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 54c | 78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Akron Zips | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Akron Zips | 44c | 59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Akron Zips | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Akron Zips | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Akron Zips | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 55c | 30.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Akron Zips | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Akron Zips | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Akron Zips | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Akron Zips | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Akron Zips | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Akron Zips | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Akron Zips | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Akron Zips | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Akron Zips | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Akron Zips | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Akron Zips | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Akron Zips (-16.5)this page
- Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Akron ZipsAkron Zips won
- Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Akron Zips: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.