South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee6e759856995f344e8dfb95ede17c7124a90dfa3bb954a8c941a2480b39d959
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 47c | 525.64$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.59 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 443.6$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.53 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 43c | 323.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.26 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 9c | 323$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 8cpaid | +106%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 211.59$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 55c | 119$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 55c | 107$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Over | 55c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Over | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Under | 45c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 55c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Under | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Under | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Under | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Under | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Under | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 27.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Under | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Under | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0c…72f1backed Over | 45c | 24.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 23.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Under | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b28…25d8backed Under | 59c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.