South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07561ed505f304f723a36f950fd4f612aed92a0664c825fc1c7bea30fede5c1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,436$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.53 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 31c | 1,250$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.54 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c2…d65ebacked Under | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 37c | 269.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9180…3ff1backed Over | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 28c | 129.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 124.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 67c | 113$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 68c | 106$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 67c | 102$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 67c | 88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 68c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 74c | 63.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 67c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 26c | 52.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 67c | 51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 32c | 48.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420a…7d5cbacked Under | 72c | 39.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Over | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 67c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52f…d34fbacked Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5this page
- CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.