NHL · resolved market
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3f18c67eab87a8324691d6934095b72f820e2774cc46d9a522fcdcdc06aad3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaof Severstal Cherepovets, Salavat Yulaev Ufa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 33c | 549.47$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.14 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Severstal Cherepovets | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 38c | 257.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.71 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 34c | 179$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.14 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 35c | 130$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cf…1be2backed Severstal Cherepovets | 67c | 125.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 34c | 108$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 34c | 98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 34c | 81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 34c | 67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Severstal Cherepovets | 65c | 65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Severstal Cherepovets | 65c | 49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 34c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Severstal Cherepovets | 62c | 28.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 24.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Severstal Cherepovets | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Severstal Cherepovets | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.