Other European Leagues · resolved market
NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x017bb9c0a8af7a3da427d80c78222b8b6688866bef38e157c76054e6bcc0fdaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 46c | 6,891$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.18 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 6,469$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.85 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 48c | 6,437$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 54c | 6,143$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.31 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…9207backed Under | 53c | 2,723$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 2,077$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 1,257$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.46 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 47c | 422.4$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.97 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Over | 48c | 395.83$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Under | 51c | 267.63$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 51c | 215.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cf52backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…c6f5backed Over | 49c | 177.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over | 49c | 165$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…bb43backed Over | 48c | 160.42$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 46c | 144.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 110.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 58c | 100.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 36c | 80.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 51c | 78.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Over | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 31c | 67.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 51c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 46c | 64.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 58c | 52.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 59c | 51.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a0…081bbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 52c | 31.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Under | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 55c | 29.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 46c | 27.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 60c | 26.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Under | 61c | 25.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 45c | 25.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f5…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5this page
- NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 1.5Over won
- NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5Over won
- NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.