Other European Leagues · resolved market
NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7855205085818b738ce8d235a17e3b9256b888e5f2734a5dcdbbfade0afca0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Under | 0c | 19,423$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 61c | 10,418$6,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,070.45 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 36c | 8,173$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.95 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 4,150$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Over | 68c | 3,400$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 2,407$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.85 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 25c | 1,098$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.34 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 989.11$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.56 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 3c | 876.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 25c | 448$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 47c | 153.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 147$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 29c | 138.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 53c | 134.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 73c | 105$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…ae87backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Under | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 23c | 86.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 23c | 84.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 73c | 80.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 67c | 76.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Over | 27c | 71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 75c | 68.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 75c | 66.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 47c | 65.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 52c | 54.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Over | 26c | 49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Over | 27c | 48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Over | 67c | 40.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Under | 63c | 37.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 34c | 35.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Under | 73c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…cdadbacked Over | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Under | 73c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 60c | 28.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Under | 70c | 27.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 65c | 26.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Under | 48c | 24.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Under | 74c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 50c | 20.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 73c | 20.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 67c | 19.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Under | 74c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5this page
- NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 1.5Over won
- NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5Over won
- NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.