NHL · resolved market
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Torpedo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68c08411a1770a4c9d1a5d639b8b32a096285a8b7041b0c054306c04eed223d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Severstal Cherepovetsof Severstal Cherepovets, Torpedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 268$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 239$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 158$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 132$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 124$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf357…c655backed Torpedo | 44c | 115.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Severstal Cherepovets | 56c | 103.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Torpedo | 41c | 70.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 59c | 70.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Torpedo | 43c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Torpedo | 43c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Torpedo | 43c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Torpedo | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Torpedo | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Torpedo | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Torpedo | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Torpedo | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Torpedo | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Torpedo | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Torpedo | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Torpedo | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Torpedo | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Torpedo | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Torpedo | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Torpedo | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Torpedo | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Torpedo | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Torpedo | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Torpedo | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Torpedo | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Torpedo | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Torpedo | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Torpedo | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Torpedo | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Torpedo | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Torpedo | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Torpedo | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Torpedo | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e5…79dfbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Severstal Cherepovets | 56c | 18.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.