South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-01-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7dbd7aae6eeeb188c43072da5a75ecf2c9390b084f4eb7e77b81f0446042c78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 19c | 4,390$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.93 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 1,151$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 5c | 1,060$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 17c | 886.33$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.66 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 769.36$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.99 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 21c | 602.37$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.87 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 571.91$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.5 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 5c | 467.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 21c | 257.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.14 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 79c | 238.09$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.09 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 20c | 127$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 114$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 72c | 81.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 76.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 24c | 63.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Yes | 19c | 58.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 20c | 51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 80c | 43.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 76c | 38.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 33c | 33.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Yes | 70c | 32.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 55c | 31.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed No | 80c | 29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes | 71c | 27.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed No | 80c | 26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed No | 80c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed No | 80c | 17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-01-27?this page
- Will CA Huracán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-01-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.