South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-01-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe868e05fe8711693c98bab528cff2d84fa4beedae58005a65ce2592cf3255b72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 54c | 2,288$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.45 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 1,782$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.73 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 4c | 1,426$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 950.3$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.43 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 776.2$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.91 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 21c | 718.07$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.46 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 2c | 645.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 573.15$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.95 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 58c | 457.9$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.67 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 441.56$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 26c | 430$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.2 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 23c | 224.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.91 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 9c | 203.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 132.48$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 9c | 124.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 46c | 82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 44c | 75.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 17c | 71.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 26c | 62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…8897backed No | 34c | 55.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Yes | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 53c | 45.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…e25fbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…8772backed Yes | 47c | 42.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 50c | 39.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 35c | 34.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689b…d7cbbacked Yes | 50c | 29.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…60f2backed No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed No | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 42cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed No | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed No | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 55c | 21.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 75c | 18.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…e762backed Yes | 69c | 18.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 79c | 16.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-01-27?this page
- Will CA Huracán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-01-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.