South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bc948cf01445d2e18cf199f141f6862cb6763158cdbe75c892fe17d5f8d2eea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 1,821$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 49c | 1,128$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 43c | 933$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.71 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 897.55$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.86 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 776.44$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.01 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 630.67$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.94 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 33c | 286.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 66c | 204.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 34c | 122$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 39c | 121.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…871cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Yes | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Yes | 38c | 55.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed Yes | 52c | 47.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 48c | 45.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 28c | 44.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…aeaabacked Yes | 35c | 38.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 34c | 29.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked No | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed No | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 24.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed No | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked No | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…4fefbacked Yes | 54c | 20.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked No | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…e762backed No | 76c | 17.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-01-27?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-01-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.