Oklahoma Sooners vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c3d6107393f1598dd3aae67419858e6313d022e6da70ff81d6cdfab8c78594a

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mississippi State Bulldogsof Oklahoma Sooners, Mississippi State Bulldogs
Resolved: Jan 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,794 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x256b…cd5dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	53c	4,394$2,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,076.16	133	42.1%56 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma Sooners	47c	3,148$1,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,468.95	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Oklahoma Sooners	47c	2,073$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.65	464	46.8%217 W · 247 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	53c	2,056$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$956.44	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Oklahoma Sooners	49c	1,795$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.27	1,436	47.5%682 W · 754 L	-18.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Oklahoma Sooners	27c	1,791$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.02	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	53c	1,778$942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.1	298	45.3%135 W · 163 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	66c	1,577$1,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.95	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	77c	1,357$1,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.81	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	68c	1,102$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.04	158	61.4%97 W · 61 L	+7.7wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	52c	945.59$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.88	1,391	44.1%613 W · 778 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…55f7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	61c	814.85$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.85	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Oklahoma Sooners	46c	734.43$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.34	1,531	50.1%767 W · 764 L	+34.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Oklahoma Sooners	46c	699.72$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.36	2,003	53.7%1,076 W · 927 L	+101.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	50c	693.88$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.94	2,896	50%1,448 W · 1,448 L	+71.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	52c	669.78$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.02	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33b9…ed3abacked Oklahoma Sooners	20c	654.13$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	53c	539.34$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.95	1,173	25.2%296 W · 877 L	-43.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oklahoma Sooners	49c	509.89$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.45	1,887	45.2%853 W · 1,034 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Oklahoma Sooners	49c	411.9$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	270	45.2%122 W · 148 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	50c	405.77$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.52	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oklahoma Sooners	47c	400$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Oklahoma Sooners	49c	399.65$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.83	1,633	47.3%773 W · 860 L	+25.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Oklahoma Sooners	49c	361.22$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	262	54.2%142 W · 120 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	71c	356.32$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.84	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Oklahoma Sooners	42c	249.86$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.94	646	47.5%307 W · 339 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Oklahoma Sooners	47c	236.42$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.12	529	28.4%150 W · 379 L	-9.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Oklahoma Sooners	48c	227.22$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.25	735	49.1%361 W · 374 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Oklahoma Sooners	49c	224.49$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	794	48.9%388 W · 406 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Oklahoma Sooners	49c	210$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.9	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	52c	194.86$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.53	574	48.3%277 W · 297 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Oklahoma Sooners	51c	181$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.31	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Oklahoma Sooners	51c	180$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.8	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Oklahoma Sooners	42c	174.64$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.85	323	43%139 W · 184 L	-18.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Oklahoma Sooners	37c	171.45$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.25	573	35.6%204 W · 369 L	-27.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Oklahoma Sooners	53c	141.51$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Oklahoma Sooners	52c	135.9$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.67	112	50%56 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Oklahoma Sooners	17c	122.32$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-61%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Oklahoma Sooners	39c	112.49$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.59	368	45.7%168 W · 200 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Oklahoma Sooners	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	181	29.3%53 W · 128 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Oklahoma Sooners	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Oklahoma Sooners	12c	99.15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.83	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Oklahoma Sooners	51c	97.48$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	246	49.6%122 W · 124 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32c…db1bbacked Oklahoma Sooners	41c	95.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.72	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-13.8wins	-0.31per pick	38cpaid	-88.7%equal weight	28-0.20 edge/pick
0x3ef2…6e74backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	53c	80$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.6	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Oklahoma Sooners	38c	74$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.23	556	57.4%319 W · 237 L	+20.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	70c	62.05$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.78	1,985	64.1%1,273 W · 712 L	+144.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Oklahoma Sooners	47c	54.76$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.74	378	35.7%135 W · 243 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	52c	54$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.92	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Oklahoma Sooners	47c	51.63$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.27	69	31.9%22 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Oklahoma Sooners	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	1,070	46.9%502 W · 568 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Oklahoma Sooners	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	113	44.2%50 W · 63 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe9…a400backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	49c	46$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.46	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	49c	45$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.95	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	49c	43$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.93	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+4.6wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	49c	43$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.93	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Oklahoma Sooners	44c	42.48$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	227	56.4%128 W · 99 L	+18.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d19…8b58backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	49c	41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.91	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Oklahoma Sooners	34c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	456	44.5%203 W · 253 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	47c	39.47$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.92	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oklahoma Sooners	31c	38.81$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.03	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	50c	38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Oklahoma Sooners	36c	37.05$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.35	94	12.8%12 W · 82 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa554…e53dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	49c	37$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.87	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Oklahoma Sooners	47c	36.06$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.95	215	35.3%76 W · 139 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Oklahoma Sooners	45c	34.19$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	194	54.6%106 W · 88 L	+10.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed Oklahoma Sooners	49c	34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.66	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bd…d82dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	49c	34$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.34	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	49c	32$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.32	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	69c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.3	190	55.3%105 W · 85 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	53c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	152	50%76 W · 76 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Oklahoma Sooners	52c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	536	35.6%191 W · 345 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Oklahoma Sooners	47c	23.52$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.05	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6de0…af02backed Oklahoma Sooners	53c	22.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.06	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	71c	22$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.38	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Oklahoma Sooners	47c	21.46$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Oklahoma Sooners	48c	21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	399	3.3%13 W · 386 L	-21.0wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-89.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsthis page
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: O/U 158.5Under won
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: O/U 159.5Under won
Spread: Mississippi State Bulldogs (-1.5)Mississippi State Bulldogs won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event