Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: O/U 159.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0386c6bfe432dc1f8a2dc3e5d42772e680ccf037db7e9aabd40f0bc361f781c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 53c | 338$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.43 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 299.91$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 51c | 131$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Over | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Over | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Over | 47c | 25.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: O/U 159.5this page
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State Bulldogs won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: Mississippi State Bulldogs (-1.5)Mississippi State Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.