South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76a84272678bb712ce4ffde090e0b1ebf9e45a81bb900d1425acdb53b14e3071
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 786.42$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 56c | 185$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 34c | 163.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb793…15d0backed Yes | 22c | 136.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 57c | 133$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 55c | 87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Yes | 56c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 55c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Yes | 57c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 48.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked No | 44c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 39c | 43.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked No | 44c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Yes | 57c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed No | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed No | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked No | 45c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed No | 43c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed No | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked No | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 49c | 33.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed No | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed No | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed No | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Yes | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked No | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Yes | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.