South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50e189b9e0d9fb22743fd68d58d1b43f696b3904faf2aae1740568f13e82ea93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 34c | 2,749$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.39 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 5c | 1,772$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 4c | 1,456$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 29c | 1,247$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.29 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Under | 65c | 843$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 66c | 823.88$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 66c | 584.36$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.68 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 564.8$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.98 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 66c | 370$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 67c | 298.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 68c | 177$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 64c | 118$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 68c | 86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 66c | 82.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 68c | 81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 67c | 80.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 68c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…ee1bbacked Over | 34c | 65.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Under | 68c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…2513backed Over | 34c | 57.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 68c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Over | 32c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over | 32c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 65c | 40.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Over | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Over | 36c | 34.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Over | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…ad9abacked Under | 66c | 33.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 64c | 16.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 3.5this page
- CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.