Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc1139d75ff80e7b0065dba9e39734b6c41076bb67b18335d3bb546476bc45a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 72c | 3,302$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.48 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 2,934$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.04 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 31c | 2,470$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 52c | 2,060$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.77 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 27c | 1,092$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.8 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 598.68$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.69 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 483.38$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.23 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 42c | 364.87$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 308.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked No | 72c | 306.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No | 67c | 249.29$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 30c | 227.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.09 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 49c | 210.08$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 196$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.66 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 73c | 110.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 110$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 30c | 108$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e1…682abacked Yes | 69c | 103.28$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 70c | 100.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 33c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 72c | 79.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…cc69backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 30c | 66.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 71c | 43.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed No | 72c | 39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…f85cbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed No | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed No | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed No | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed No | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Yes | 80c | 25.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee7…6096backed Yes | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked No | 66c | 15.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2025-12-11?No won
- Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.