Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d236b022e8f76d1fb3fbc0db420944f54acf16049c8b00f7173a7e63596874e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 2,050$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.96 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 76c | 961.92$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.89 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 30c | 818.1$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.92 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 417$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 7c | 407.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 3c | 367.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 341.14$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 25c | 268$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 8c | 259.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…0741backed Yes | 10c | 245.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 232$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 22c | 178.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 27c | 109$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…fefebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 73c | 93.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 27c | 92.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 78c | 73.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 66.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 73c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…9b7dbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 30c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked No | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed No | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 75c | 24.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked No | 75c | 16.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.