Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rice Owls vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a8e5b86a05989adbeb2881a4a367be2cb9155b115da0f0698711b8042e78c42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 48c | 110,000$53,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,699.98 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 51c | 67,500$34,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,738.15 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 51c | 37,109$19,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,055.63 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 55c | 33,162$18,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,287.26 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Over | 52c | 24,008$12,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,518.87 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 48c | 12,500$6,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,459.99 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 49c | 9,253$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.55 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 44c | 8,967$3,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,020.43 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 7,751$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068.2 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 7,320$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,829.76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 49c | 5,304$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.99 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 47c | 5,000$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.03 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.98 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 53c | 3,004$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.85 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 2,566$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.88 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 44c | 2,025$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 1,760$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,720$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 1,555$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.15 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 45c | 1,445$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.09 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 46c | 978.26$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.26 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 51c | 944.99$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.24 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 898.95$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.58 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 44c | 354.73$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.65 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 294.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 46c | 265.05$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.94 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 53c | 255.56$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.45 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…0ed7backed Under | 50c | 199.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 51c | 168.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 48c | 159$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 45c | 126.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 54c | 124$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 47c | 105.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 52c | 99.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 55c | 86.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 48c | 81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 48c | 74.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under | 47c | 59.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Over | 52c | 45.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Over | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 52c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…b58cbacked Over | 55c | 41.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked Under | 50c | 39.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked Under | 48c | 35.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed Under | 50c | 35.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9aa…089dbacked Under | 48c | 24.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rice Owls vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 152.5this page
- Rice Owls vs. UAB BlazersUAB Blazers won
- Rice Owls vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: UAB Blazers (-8.5)Rice Owls won
- Spread: UAB Blazers (-9.5)Rice Owls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.