Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg European Open: Mona Barthel vs Yulia Putintseva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad64ef4c69b2179dfb9588a44de5e4369a136df30c3e8c9c50f44b2bd4a021a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yulia Putintsevaof Mona Barthel, Yulia Putintseva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mona Barthel | 6c | 33,402$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.85 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Mona Barthel | 4c | 5,824$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.08 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Mona Barthel | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.97 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Mona Barthel | 10c | 4,088$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.66 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492b…45eebacked Mona Barthel | 6c | 2,437$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mona Barthel | 7c | 2,295$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.76 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Mona Barthel | 7c | 1,340$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Mona Barthel | 12c | 1,006$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Mona Barthel | 7c | 957.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…0b32backed Mona Barthel | 11c | 869.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Mona Barthel | 12c | 776.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Mona Barthel | 7c | 720.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mona Barthel | 11c | 599.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mona Barthel | 7c | 488.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…0bf5backed Mona Barthel | 11c | 399.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mona Barthel | 7c | 375$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…0409backed Mona Barthel | 23c | 339.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mona Barthel | 8c | 339.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Mona Barthel | 5c | 324$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb804…cd66backed Mona Barthel | 6c | 292.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 154 | 16.2%25 W · 129 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Mona Barthel | 7c | 267.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Mona Barthel | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Mona Barthel | 7c | 191.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mona Barthel | 11c | 187.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed Mona Barthel | 12c | 147.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…33a6backed Mona Barthel | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Mona Barthel | 10c | 118.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Mona Barthel | 14c | 114.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7862…1706backed Mona Barthel | 18c | 109.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mona Barthel | 14c | 106.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Yulia Putintseva | 77c | 20.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburg European Open: Mona Barthel vs Yulia Putintsevathis page
- Set 2 Winner: Barthel vs PutintsevaPutintseva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.