Tennis · resolved market
Lexus Eastbourne Open: McCartney Kessler vs Madison Keys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c6f3e29e173f1adb17ff746c7f6d97eabafd717967798069c89567639283005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Madison Keysof McCartney Kessler, Madison Keys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed McCartney Kessler | 12c | 18,897$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.36 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6ac7backed Madison Keys | 74c | 16,189$12,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.19 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked McCartney Kessler | 24c | 10,624$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.57 | 941 | 40.6%382 W · 559 L | -31.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked McCartney Kessler | 6c | 8,992$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.71 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked McCartney Kessler | 21c | 6,196$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.13 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed McCartney Kessler | 23c | 3,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Madison Keys | 78c | 3,205$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.13 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed McCartney Kessler | 10c | 1,776$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed McCartney Kessler | 24c | 1,398$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed McCartney Kessler | 9c | 1,333$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Madison Keys | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed McCartney Kessler | 22c | 1,079$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.38 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed McCartney Kessler | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed McCartney Kessler | 18c | 1,000$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.71 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Madison Keys | 76c | 953.68$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.61 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed McCartney Kessler | 22c | 782.58$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed McCartney Kessler | 15c | 672.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked McCartney Kessler | 14c | 658.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 197 | 25.9%51 W · 146 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked McCartney Kessler | 22c | 640.43$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.01 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked McCartney Kessler | 18c | 542.31$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked McCartney Kessler | 12c | 515.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed McCartney Kessler | 24c | 506.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 1,371 | 38.3%525 W · 846 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked McCartney Kessler | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed McCartney Kessler | 26c | 390.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked McCartney Kessler | 13c | 386.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 136 | 34.6%47 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Madison Keys | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed McCartney Kessler | 12c | 380$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed McCartney Kessler | 15c | 335$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Madison Keys | 77c | 329.39$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735c…55edbacked Madison Keys | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Madison Keys | 78c | 256.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked McCartney Kessler | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed McCartney Kessler | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 952 | 37.7%359 W · 593 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x916e…6183backed McCartney Kessler | 12c | 219.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Madison Keys | 79c | 213.98$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 202 | 70.8%143 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Madison Keys | 76c | 207.05$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed McCartney Kessler | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Madison Keys | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 244 | 61.1%149 W · 95 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked McCartney Kessler | 23c | 170.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed McCartney Kessler | 23c | 166.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked McCartney Kessler | 12c | 162.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed McCartney Kessler | 16c | 157.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked McCartney Kessler | 24c | 141.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed McCartney Kessler | 14c | 138.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked McCartney Kessler | 23c | 115.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Madison Keys | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Madison Keys | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe37…911dbacked Madison Keys | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 326 | 75.2%245 W · 81 L | +20.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed McCartney Kessler | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked McCartney Kessler | 25c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Madison Keys | 77c | 97.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed McCartney Kessler | 16c | 84.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed McCartney Kessler | 22c | 77.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Madison Keys | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Madison Keys | 79c | 64.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Madison Keys | 77c | 61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed McCartney Kessler | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Madison Keys | 76c | 53.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed McCartney Kessler | 24c | 53.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked McCartney Kessler | 21c | 51.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Madison Keys | 77c | 50.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Madison Keys | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed McCartney Kessler | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 521 | 35.1%183 W · 338 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed McCartney Kessler | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Madison Keys | 75c | 49.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…e458backed Madison Keys | 78c | 21.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Madison Keys | 75c | 14.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Madison Keys | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 207 | 71%147 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lexus Eastbourne Open: McCartney Kessler vs Madison Keysthis page
- Set 2 Winner: Kessler vs KeysKeys won
- Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Kessler (+1.5)Keys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.